Another World Is Possible

Thursday, October 09, 2008

The Fall Out from the Bail Out

Yesterday I was trying throughout the day on live media to cut through the New Labour spin and explain the potential consequences of the Government's bankers' bail out for the rest of us and also to ask the question "what next?" Even if this bail out works for the banks it simply let's them off the hook so that they can return to binge banking, which we will pay for with tax increases and cuts in expenditure on public services. This morning the Guardian has published this commentary from me on the Government's bail out for the bankers.

Reckless with our money

The government, in effect, is handing over taxpayers' money to the very people who led these banks to the brink of collapse
John McDonnell MP

The British government has announced a £50bn part-nationalisation scheme. As someone who has been calling for the nationalisation of the banking sector since this crisis began, I should be satisfied.

However, as more details of this package emerge left economists and Labour MPs are increasingly alarmed. The deal is incredibly reckless: the government will only take preference shares in the banks in exchange for a massive investment of taxpayers' cash. The only potential advantage for taxpayers is in dividend payments, if there are any, crucially though the government will have no controlling stake. This in effect is handing over taxpayers' money to the very people who led these banks to the brink of collapse.

If the government is injecting public money, it should also take the right to oversee board appointments, executive pay, and future business operations. The government argues that by taking preference shares, the taxpayer will have first call on dividends. However, the only banks that will come forward to use this £50bn facility will be those in trouble. The market capitalisation of these banks has only been sustained at all by the prospect of a government bail out. Many of these banks are actually bust. Therefore there will be no dividends, we are throwing good public money after bad.

The government should be ensuring the public is protected through cuts in consumer borrowing rates – ensuring that people do not default on their debt and mortgage payments; giving a no-repossession guarantee, providing people with a "right to stay" in their homes – by converting repossessions to social rentals; and securing the jobs of those workers now threatened with redundancy as their bosses' kamikaze capitalism unravels.

But to do that, we would have to take a controlling stake. We should have nationalised to stabilise, with control for the taxpayer to have scrutiny of the banks' accounts, representation on the boards, a pay cap for bank directors and the end of excessive bonuses.

This may prop up a failing system in the short term, but in the medium to long term this deal will have to be paid for and this can only come through either tax rises or (more likely) through public expenditure cuts. This will exacerbate the recession by reducing demand. So while the package might prop up the banks in the short term, it risks further damaging the entire economy in the long term.

This deal is like your neighbour going on a massive spending binge – throwing a party, buying a new car, going on holiday – and then sending you the bill. Taxpayers will end up paying doubly, once through loose subsidies to dodgy banks and the second time as the recession bites and they risk losing their jobs, homes and going further into debt.

At that point they will rightly be asking the government: "Where is the bailout for the British public?"

8 Comments:

Anonymous Dirty Euro said...

The government should ask the banks to delver full details of any toxic debts they have. Then analyse if there is any point saving the banks or if they should just be nationalised.

10:31 AM 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

John, I know you have massive local comittements, but you really should do a national speaking tour about the crisis. Many people are crying out for an non establishment explanation/analysis of the crisis and what is to be done.

1:24 PM 
Anonymous Gordon said...

How much is the banker now running Northern Rock getting paid? Wouldn't a nationalisation of many banks destroy the wage structure of the public sector? (Otherwise you won't get people with the right ability - at least part of Black Wednesday was because the government was challenged by a profesional banker (Soros) who won.) Also, would there be guarantees that their would be no politicking of loan requirements? Heffer in today's Telegraph is extreme, but given that Harriet Harman announced that she wanted companies gaining public sector contracts to have to explain how they are helping unions etc, how do I know that you wouldn't charge me more on a loan for a gas guzzler than a prius for example? Also, would there ever be a denationalisation? Would new banks be allowed to start in competition?

8:05 PM 
Blogger Duncan Hall said...

We should all pressure Channel 4 to give John one of their 'political slots' after the news to talk about the financial crisis.

Yes, getting out into the country and speaking on it would be great, but we need this view on the crisis to be heard in the mainstream media as much as possible because I think a lot of people instinctively feel something is wrong, but they need to hear the clear economic arguments.

11:17 PM 
Anonymous Dirty Euro: said...

Ron Paul and is the best example for a non establishment candidate to copy. He is right wing but has built up a cult following via you tube.
Max Keiser is another figure who is quite left wing who has buily up cult following.
Ron Paul seems to use every outlet he can get even cult 9 11 conspiracy radio stations, and fox news, cnn. I think
as long as you argue a consistent message, and use as many outselts as possible you could be come more of well known figure.
People are looking for someone who has answers.
How about seeing if you can an interview on that arab cable channel.

11:39 AM 
Anonymous Gordon said...

dirty euro said "I think
as long as you argue a consistent message, and use as many outselts as possible you could be come more of well known figure."

Isn't that the Lembit Opik technique? A man who has sunk so low to be a laughing stock within the liberal democrats. So much so that in their presidential vote most of them will be voting for a baroness they had never previously heard of and still wouldn't recognise if they bumped into her rather than let him have an important role.

John, if you follow DE's advice I look forward to seeing you on reality TV shows etc - I'm not a fan of your cause but that would be a ridiculous way to further it.

8:29 PM 
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